黑潮、亲潮及其交汇区水温与秋刀鱼资源丰度的关系
Relationship between the water temperature of the Kuroshio, Oyashio and Kuroshio-Oyashio Transition Zone and Cololabis saira resource abundance
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摘要: 本文根据北太平洋渔业委员会(North Pacific Fisheries Commission,NPFC)1995-2014年全球秋刀鱼(Cololabis saira)生产统计数据和美国夏威夷大学网站的黑潮(Kuroshio current,KC)、亲潮(Oyashio current,OC)及其交汇区(Transition zone,TZ)的海表面温度(Sea surface temperature,SST)和海表面温度异常(Sea surface temperature anomaly,SSTA)数据,利用关联度法和频次统计法分析了秋刀鱼资源丰度与黑潮、亲潮及其交汇区SST和SSTA的关系。结果表明,秋刀鱼资源丰度年间变化较大,呈现出"大小年"的现象;各月份水温因子(SST KC1表示黑潮区1月SST,SSTA OC7表示亲潮区7月SSTA)与秋刀鱼资源丰度关联度均在0.6以上,关联度较高,大小顺序依次为SSTAKC1>SSTAOC7>SSTAOC9>SSTATZ6>SSTATZ5>SSTATZ4>SSTAOC8>SSTAKC2>SSTOC9>SSTKC3>SSTKC2>SSTTZ6>SSTTZ5>SSTOC8>SSTKC1>SSTTZ4>SSTOC7>SSTAKC3,SSTA的关联度普遍高于SST,其中SSTA的适宜范围为0~1.5℃,SST的适宜范围为14~20℃;K-S检验(P<0.01)结果表明SSTA和SST的适宜范围是合适的。本文主要对黑潮、亲潮及其交汇区海域水温与秋刀鱼资源丰度的关系进行研究,研究内容可使我国提前掌握秋刀鱼资源丰度异常变动的情况,为合理安排捕捞努力量提供帮助。Abstract: Based on the 1995-2014 global Cololabis saira catch data collected by North Pacific Fisheries Commission,sea surface temperature(SST) and sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA) of the Kuroshio Oyashio and Kuroshio-Oyashio Transition Zone from the website of Hawaii University,this paper analyzed the relationship between C.saira resource abundance and SST and SSTA of the Kuroshio,Oyashio and Kuroshio-Oyashio Transition Zone by using the method of grey relation analysis and frequency statistic.The results indicated that the inter-annual variation of C.saira dramatically presented an "on and off-year" phenomenon.The correlation of temperature factor in each month and the saury resource abundance correlation was high and all above 0.6,the order was in turn:SSTAKC1>SSTAOC7>SSTAOC9>SSTATZ6>SSTATZ5>SSTATZ4>SSTAOC8>SSTAKC2>SSTOC9>SSTKC3>SSTKC2>SSTTZ6>SSTTZ5>SSTOC8>SSTKC1>SSTTZ4>SSTOC7>SSTAKC3,and SSTA correlation degree was generally higher than that of SST.The optimum range of SSTA and SST were 0~1.5℃ and 14~20℃,respectively.According to K-S test(P<0.01),the range of SSTA and SST were reasonable.The research content could help the Chinese mainland master saury resource abundance abnormal changes ahead of time,which helps to arrange fishing effort reasonably.
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